Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 219.301595 246.493788 276.544228 312.357057 354.056536 401.295777 459.168411
2025-04-06 177.607846 213.215736 255.936803 311.522452 382.750931 472.084565 594.403013
2025-04-13 149.124868 186.279386 233.153697 297.602573 385.461883 503.381593 677.720778
2025-04-20 137.831869 178.239674 231.523598 308.503540 419.569988 578.422196 831.323102
2025-04-27 129.818916 172.967172 232.096544 321.348117 456.880000 662.422761 1013.405183
2025-05-04 119.780580 163.507199 225.343692 322.137390 475.604286 720.373407 1164.938544
2025-05-11 109.086904 151.892027 214.013294 314.244505 479.064612 753.569520 1279.875171
2025-05-18 100.428674 142.364068 204.671485 308.039076 483.876848 788.933169 1405.057806
2025-05-25 96.503494 139.486198 205.010235 317.101916 515.137553 874.981747 1646.871732
2025-06-01 90.860079 133.442592 199.746246 316.111197 528.370745 929.660098 1836.974525
2025-06-08 84.862911 126.349471 192.133744 310.177541 531.612455 965.244477 1993.450847
2025-06-15 80.745234 121.927124 188.473108 310.686413 546.821409 1026.975865 2225.999243
2025-06-22 75.587613 115.562398 181.242538 304.379179 548.695925 1062.772871 2409.493876
2025-06-29 71.744290 111.116811 176.947887 303.088802 560.557597 1122.708530 2675.061999
2025-07-06 66.312475 103.631224 166.792015 289.680085 545.580639 1119.257083 2765.222935
2025-07-13 65.060408 103.169566 168.959915 300.217360 582.765301 1244.867604 3272.875418
2025-07-20 64.130834 103.180545 171.941769 312.637110 625.908904 1394.424867 3917.163604
2025-07-27 61.653535 100.286973 169.343708 313.400031 642.636570 1479.831888 4384.720383
2025-08-03 58.279102 95.581422 163.017375 305.769233 638.599407 1508.738878 4662.536161
2025-08-10 55.363718 91.543024 157.687579 299.768806 637.745296 1546.563871 4992.005269
2025-08-17 54.419719 91.052510 159.130281 308.531935 674.610774 1701.322020 5870.039730
2025-08-24 52.415832 88.473279 156.303337 307.574075 686.640735 1784.649149 6488.905465
2025-08-31 50.023290 85.034824 151.549275 301.836729 685.415519 1826.532335 6941.434794